Fact check: Prabowo's 3 million homes a year pledge is running far short

Verdict: Broken so far. President Prabowo Subianto's pledge to build and renovate 3 million homes every year has not been met in either of his first two years. Housing ministry figures add up to 852,410 homes built or improved in 2025 and 937,671 in 2026 up to 15 October, and the government's own targets for 2026 total about 1.37 million.

The promise

Building 3 million homes was one of the flagship pledges of the Prabowo and Gibran Rakabuming Raka ticket. On 10 October 2024, ten days before the inauguration, the head of the president-elect's task force, Hashim Djojohadikusumo, made clear the number was annual. "Not three million (in one term). We want to build three million homes every year," he told a real estate forum in Jakarta, according to ANTARA. That would mean 15 million homes over five years: 1 million apartments in cities and 2 million homes in rural areas each year. ANTARA reported in the same story that president-elect Prabowo had pledged 3 million homes a year in villages, cities and coastal areas.

The government says the programme is meant to tackle a housing backlog. A government press briefing in June 2026 put the need at about 9.9 million families without a home and 26.9 million homes that are unfit to live in.

What the ministry's figures show

The Ministry of Housing and Settlement Areas (PKP) reported on 23 October 2026 that 1,790,081 homes had been built or improved from 2025 to 15 October 2026 through all channels. Of these, 1,103,918 were new homes and 686,163 were repairs or quality improvements.

The ministry splits the count into work paid for from its own budget and work outside it, which includes other ministries and regional budgets, subsidised mortgages (FLPP), VAT relief, housing credit and company CSR. Its own budget delivered 62,579 units in 2025 and 236,300 in 2026; the other channels delivered 789,831 in 2025 and 701,371 in 2026. Added up, that is 852,410 homes in 2025, about 28 percent of 3 million, and 937,671 in 2026 up to mid-October, about 31 percent.

Both totals count renovations alongside new homes, so the number of new homes is lower still. Over the whole period, new homes made up about 62 percent of the total.

The government's own 2026 target is lower

In June 2026 the head of the government communications agency (Bakom), Muhammad Qodari, set out the 2026 targets for the programme's four delivery paths, citing PKP data: 510,046 units through the state path, 635,122 through developers, 188,140 through self-help building and 36,693 through gotong royong (community cooperation). Together those targets come to about 1.37 million, less than half of the 3 million promised for a year. By 13 June 2026, 324,213 units had been delivered.

The government's side

The ministry points to record numbers in some parts of the programme. Subsidised mortgages through FLPP reached 278,868 homes in 2025, the highest since the scheme began in 2010, and the 2026 target is 350,000; 187,259 had been disbursed by the time of the October report. The home repair programme (Bedah Rumah) grew from a target of 45,000 homes in 2025 to 400,000 in 2026, and housing credit (KPP) disbursements reached Rp28.164 trillion.

"We are working with a very large target to meet people's need for decent homes," Housing Minister Maruarar Sirait said at the October review, urging staff to keep integrity and accountability. The ministry's budget realisation stood at 68.83 percent on 23 October 2026, or 58.33 percent including extra funds for permanent housing for disaster victims.

Why the verdict is broken so far

The pledge was stated as an annual number, and the president's own task force head stressed it was 3 million every year, not over a term. In 2025 the programme reached less than a third of that figure, and in 2026 the government set targets well below it and has delivered less than a third with two and a half months left. The programme is continuing and output in 2026 is higher than in 2025, so NewsWLD will review this check when full year 2026 data are published.

What to watch

PKP's year end figures for 2026 will show whether output passes 1 million homes in a year. A five-year total of 15 million would require far faster delivery from 2027 to 2029 than the roughly 1.8 million homes recorded across the first two years.

This check is part of NewsWLD's tracker of promises made by Indonesian officials.